Value
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.1 |
| P/S | 8.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.0 |
| PEG | 5.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.0x
- ▸PEG: 1.52
DPZ · Why this verdict
Why Domino's Pizza (DPZ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 1.7 |
| Op margin | 7.7 |
| Net margin | 5.9 |
| Current ratio | 5.8 |
| FCF quality | 6.4 |
| Moat | 4.4 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
2.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.4 |
| EPS growth | 1.1 |
Momentum
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.6 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 4.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 8.5 |
| erm sentiment | 4.6 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 29%
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $2,973,364 (0.028% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.7 |
| quality rank | 7.5 |
| growth rank | 2.0 |
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.6 |
| support resistance | 5.6 |
| 52w position | 2.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.1 |
| days to cover | 7.5 |
| volatility | 6.0 |
| put call | 3.4 |
| implied vol | 4.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.2 |
- ▸Above max pain $230
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 254.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:3.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:42d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.4>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
3.02
Upside
+15.9%
Downside
5.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.02 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.0, Value at 6.6, and Momentum at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 2.2, Catalyst at 3.7, and Insider at 3.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.02 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.