Value
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.4 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.5 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.26
- ▸Attractively valued
DORM · Why this verdict
Why Dorman Products (DORM) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.5 |
| ROA | 5.7 |
| Gross margin | 4.2 |
| Op margin | 5.4 |
| Net margin | 4.4 |
| Current ratio | 9.7 |
| FCF quality | 0.3 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 3% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
6.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.6 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.9 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 71)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.9 |
| Price target | 7.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.5 |
| quality rank | 6.7 |
| growth rank | 2.0 |
Technical
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.1 |
| support resistance | 1.9 |
| 52w position | 5.4 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.1 |
| days to cover | 4.6 |
| volatility | 5.2 |
| put call | 9.2 |
| implied vol | 4.2 |
| beta | 7.1 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.4 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:54d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.2<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.25
Upside
+3.3%
Downside
13.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Value at 7.5; weakest: Peer rank at 3.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.5, Sentiment at 7.0, and Growth at 6.8; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.3, Technical at 3.6, and Momentum at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.25 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.