Carvana (CVNA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.39
- Estimate
- $0.44
- Surprise
- -12.2%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $8.04B
- Score today
- 5.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Carvana (CVNA) missed the $0.44 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.39 — a large 12.2% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- Huntington Ingalls, Crocs, Carvana, Insmed And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Thursday — benzinga, 2026-10-29
- US Economy Grew 3.4% in the Third Quarter, Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Matches Forecasts (UPDATED) — benzinga, 2026-10-29
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CVNA Sell at 5.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -12.2% surprise compares with a +67.1% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
- Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
- Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $68.78
- Price target
- $73.20
- Stop
- $63.97
- Upside to target
- +6.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.4:1
At 28.4× trailing and 26.1× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CVNA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto & Truck Dealerships
- Market cap
- $65.45B
- P/E (fwd)
- 26.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 28.4
- 52-week range
- $54.46–$97.38
- Off 52-week high
- 29.4%
- RSI (14)
- 58
- Volume vs avg
- 0.79×
- Score today
- 5.9/10