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CTGOContango Silver & Gold Inc.Sell5.4·$15.59-6.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Contango screens as deeply undervalued with steep analyst-implied upside and modest insider buying, but a quality score far below the engine's floor, volatile earnings surprises, and a confirmed technical downtrend drive the engine's exit recommendation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Analyst UpsideStable
  • Quality Floor Exit SignalStable
  • Earnings Surprise VolatilityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.59: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 8.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a... Read more

$15.59+112.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#33 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.18%
Stop $14.61Target $33.35(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 8.8:1
Analyst target$38.33+145.9%6 analysts
$33.35our TP
$15.59price
$38.33mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.59: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 8.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 26, 2026 HIGH Item 4.01: Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant. (a) Dismissal of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm On June 24, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the "Audit Committee") of Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T23:03:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.2
Mkt Cap$512M
EV/EBITDA-145.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-18.5%
Rev Growth
Beta-0.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV88%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-26Item 4.01HIGH
    Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant. (a) Dismissal of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm On June 24, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the "Audit Committee") of Contango Silver & Gold Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-08Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | 001-35770 | 27-3431051 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | | | 516 2nd Avenue Suite 401 | Fairbanks, Alaska | | 99701 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) | | (Zip Code) --- Registrant's Telephone Number,...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    of the Current Report on Form 8-K that was filed by Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (the "Company") on March 27, 2026 (the "Original Form 8-K"), which reported that, pursuant to the Arrangement Agreement (the "Arrangement Agreement") the Company entered into on December 7, 2025 with Dolly Varden Silv...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
4.8
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)SEC critical: A.R:R 8.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.50Resistance $18.50

Price Targets

$15
$33
A.Upside+113.9%
A.R:R8.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.59: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 8.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.61. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.35 (+112.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.61. Stop-loss: $14.61.

What are the risks of investing in CTGO?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CTGO overvalued or undervalued?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTGO?

12 analysts cover CTGO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Contango Silver & Gold Inc. do?Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose...

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company ("CORE Alaska"), and a subsidiary of Royal Gold, Inc. ("Royal Gold") formed Peak Gold, LLC (the "Peak Gold JV").

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Benzinga2d agoCONCERN
Benzinga9d ago