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CTGOContango Silver & Gold Inc.Sell6.2·$15.36
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Contango screens as deeply undervalued with steep analyst-implied upside and modest insider buying, but a quality score far below the engine's floor, volatile earnings surprises, and a confirmed technical downtrend drive the engine's exit recommendation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Analyst Upside↑Improving
  • Quality Floor Exit Signal↑Improving
  • Earnings Surprise Volatility→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 16, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a... Read more

$15.36+79.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#27 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-4.09%
Stop $14.28Analyst target $27.55(−13% haircut)A.R:R 7.4:1
Analyst consensus$31.67+106.2%6 analysts
$27.55Analyst target
$15.36price
$31.67mean
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)3.5
Mkt Cap$514M
EV/EBITDA-12.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-23.7%
Rev Growth—
Beta0.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
4.8
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
5.6
Bollinger
5.7
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 7.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.71Resistance $17.45

Price Targets

$14
$28
A.Upside+79.4%
A.R:R7.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.36: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $14.28. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTGO stock price target?

Analyst target: $27.55 (+79.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.28. Stop-loss: $14.28.

What are the risks of investing in CTGO?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CTGO overvalued or undervalued?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTGO?

12 analysts cover CTGO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Contango Silver & Gold Inc. do?Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose...

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company ("CORE Alaska"), and a subsidiary of Royal Gold, Inc. ("Royal Gold") formed Peak Gold, LLC (the "Peak Gold JV").

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