Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.6 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| PEG | 9.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.67
- ▸Attractively valued
CPB · Why this verdict
Why The Campbell's (CPB) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score4.4/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.6 |
| ROA | 3.6 |
| Gross margin | 1.9 |
| Op margin | 4.7 |
| Net margin | 2.7 |
| Current ratio | 4.0 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 3.6 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 157% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
Growth
0.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.4 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.7 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 8.0 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 74)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.4 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.3 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 0.8 |
Technical
1.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 1.1 |
| 52w position | 2.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 3.1 |
| volatility | 4.9 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.4 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 3.3 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High short interest: 33%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.15
- ▸High IV: 66%
- ▸Concentration risks: 3 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.7 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Earnings in 1 days
- ▸Dividend: 720.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $21.68 has reached target $21.49. No upside to wait for.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L3:NEWS_BLOCK|SANITY:WAIT+price>=TPPassed (5)
- MOMENTUM:7.3>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=7.3>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-0.86
Upside
-8.4%
Downside
9.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $21.68 has reached target $21.49. No upside to wait for. The 10-dimension scores remain Value at 7.9 (strongest), but ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.9, Momentum at 7.3, and Insider at 5.0; the weakest are Growth at 0.7, Technical at 1.3, and Peer rank at 2.9. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.86 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.