The Vita Coco Company (COCO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.66
- Estimate
- $0.53
- Surprise
- +23.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $243.8M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.7 → 6.7/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
The Vita Coco Company (COCO) beat the $0.53 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.66 — a large 23.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (6.7/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.7/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates COCO Buy (Wait) at 6.6/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +23.9% surprise compares with a +40.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-17.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: coconut water (96.0%)
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas segment (83.0%)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $56.37
- Entry target
- $53.33
- Price target
- $68.82
- Stop
- $49.60
- Upside to target
- +22.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.0:1
At 28.5× trailing and 24.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
COCO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
- Market cap
- $3.22B
- P/E (fwd)
- 24.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 28.5
- 52-week range
- $39.69–$85.83
- Off 52-week high
- 34.3%
- RSI (14)
- 51
- Volume vs avg
- 0.67×
- Score today
- 6.6/10