Skip to main content
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb CompanyHold5.7·$56.53-1.05%
Open full analysis

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience, generating $48.2B in total 2025 revenues. The US accounts for 69% of revenues with key products including Eliquis, Opdivo,... Read more

$56.53+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.44%
IncomeYield4.41%(5y avg 3.96%)Payout70.03%
Stop $53.68Target $56.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$63.08+11.6%25 analysts
$56.77our TP
$56.53price
$63.08mean
$40
$75

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$116.7B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn15.0%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta0.24
Dividend4.41%
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$24-57.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States69%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States| 69 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Conservative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.20Resistance $60.25

Price Targets

$54
$57
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $56.77 (+0.4%), stop $53.68 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.77 (+0.4% upside). Target $56.77 (+0.4%), stop $53.68 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $53.68.

What are the risks of investing in BMY?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Is BMY overvalued or undervalued?

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BMY?

36 analysts cover BMY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Bristol-Myers Squibb Company do?Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology,...

Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience, generating $48.2B in total 2025 revenues. The US accounts for 69% of revenues with key products including Eliquis, Opdivo, Revlimid, and growth portfolio drugs. Multiple products face patent expiry pressures and the IRA's maximum fair price for Eliquis took effect January 1, 2026.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.)
Home Stocks BMY

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance47d ago
StockStory48d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance68d ago
Barron's68d ago
Investing.com68d agoAnalyst
Investing.com68d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha46d ago
MarketBeat54d agoEarnings
MSN49d ago
Seeking Alpha50d ago
24/7 Wall St.56d ago
Yahoo Finance56d ago
Yahoo Finance52d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance52d ago
Bitget66d ago
TradingView — Track All Markets66d ago
Yahoo Finance73d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga4d agoProduct
Benzinga8d agoProduct
Loading more...