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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationSell5.6·$14.99-0.07%
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Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. At $14.99, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$14.99+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.46%
Stop $14.36Target $15.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$17.88+19.2%12 analysts
$15.55our TP
$14.99price
$17.88mean
$21

Sell if holding. At $14.99, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Thin upside margin: 3.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-3.3%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$23+53.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
4.2
Value Rank
8.4
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.80Resistance $16.34

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $14.99, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.36. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.55 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.36. Stop-loss: $14.36.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Thin upside margin: 3.7%.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.)
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