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Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care, Pharmaceuticals, and Surgical segments, operating in approximately 100 countries with approximately 13,000 employees. Approximately 88% owned by Bausch Health... Read more

$16.21+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#13 of 25 Medical Instruments & Supplies
Stop $15.29Target $16.78(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$18.35+13.2%13 analysts
$16.78our TP
$16.21price
$18.35mean
$15
$21

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn-7.1%
ROE-5.4%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.17bearish
IV97%elevated
Max Pain$7-56.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
8.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.26Resistance $17.12

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $16.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.29. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.78 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.29. Stop-loss: $15.29.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

19 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care,...

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care, Pharmaceuticals, and Surgical segments, operating in approximately 100 countries with approximately 13,000 employees. Approximately 88% owned by Bausch Health Companies Inc., with active separation process ongoing.

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