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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationBuy Wait6.1·$16.99+4.88%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.05, and generates positive free cash flow despite reporting a GAAP loss — a signal that economic earnings are stronger than reported income. The primary near-term risks are declining volume momentum and a 57% revenue concentration in the Vision Care segment.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Near Zero Peg Deep ValueStable
  • Declining Volume Momentum OverhangImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Wait for pullback to $14.49. BUY gates pass at $16.99, but concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%) and concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $14.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$16.99-5.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#10 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.13%
Entry $14.49(support + ATR (held))Stop $13.41Target $17.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$18.38+8.2%12 analysts
$17.11our TP
$16.99price
$18.38mean
$16
$21

Wait for pullback to $14.49. BUY gates pass at $16.99, but concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%) and concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $14.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — Bausch + Lomb Corporation

Generated 2026-07-31T00:14:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.75)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-3.3%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.64Resistance $17.46

Price Targets

$13
$14
$17
A.Upside-5.9%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.49. BUY gates pass at $16.99, but concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%) and concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $14.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $17.11 (+0.7%), stop $13.41 (−26.7%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.11 (-5.9% upside). Target $17.11 (+0.7%), stop $13.41 (−26.7%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $13.41.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: RMD (ResMed Inc.) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated)
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