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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationSell5.5·$15.29+0.20%
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Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.29 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care (57.0%).

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated eye health company with ~$5.1B in 2025 revenues across Vision Care (57%), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) segments, sold in ~100 countries with ~13,000 employees and ~400 products. It is 88%-owned by Bausch Health Companies (BHC),... Read more

$15.29+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.38%
Stop $14.49Target $15.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$17.88+16.9%12 analysts
$15.55our TP
$15.29price
$17.88mean
$21

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.29 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care (57.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-3.3%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$12-21.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % | | $ | 2,739 | | | 57 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
4.2
Value Rank
8.4
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.80Resistance $16.41

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.29 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care (57.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.49. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.55 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.49. Stop-loss: $14.49.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated eye health company with ~$5.1B in 2025 revenues across Vision Care (57%),...

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated eye health company with ~$5.1B in 2025 revenues across Vision Care (57%), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) segments, sold in ~100 countries with ~13,000 employees and ~400 products. It is 88%-owned by Bausch Health Companies (BHC), which controls the business direction; a separation from BHC is being evaluated.

Related stocks: NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.)
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