Value
8.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.5 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.9x
- ▸Attractively valued
BKV · Why this verdict
Why BKV (BKV) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.5/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.5 |
| ROA | 5.6 |
| Gross margin | 7.1 |
| Op margin | 9.5 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.9 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 30%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -175% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 39% YoY
Momentum
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.5 |
| OBV | 5.7 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.3 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 37%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $4,668,749 (0.164% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.9 |
| quality rank | 7.1 |
| growth rank | 8.4 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.9 |
| support resistance | 9.9 |
| 52w position | 5.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.2 |
| days to cover | 6.2 |
| volatility | 3.2 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| debt equity | 7.6 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 4.50
- ▸High IV: 76%
- ▸Above max pain $18
- ▸Concentration risks: 4 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:2.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:64d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.62
Upside
+19.5%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:2.6>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.5. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.4, and Technical at 8.2; the weakest are Momentum at 2.5, Insider at 3.4, and Risk (lower is worse) at 3.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.62 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.