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BBVABanco Bilbao Vizcaya ArgentariaSell5.6·$22.86+2.88%
BBVA · Why this verdict

Why Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.7/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.9
P/S7.7
Fwd P/E9.4
PEG4.6
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 9.2x
  • PEG: 1.91

Quality

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE6.3
ROA0.9
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Moat5.9
Piotroski F6.7
  • Strong margins: 33%

Growth

5.1/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.5
EPS growth4.7

Momentum

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD2.8
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume5.7
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target5.3
erm sentiment5.9

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

5.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.3
quality rank7.4
growth rank4.7
  • Attractive P/E vs peers
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.6
support resistance6.0
52w position7.5
gap5.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest10.0
days to cover10.0
volatility6.1
put call0.0
implied vol0.0
beta7.7
  • Elevated put/call: 3.50
  • High IV: 83%

Catalyst

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm6.5
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.8
dividend safety6.0
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Dividend: 485.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-2.6=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-2.56
Upside
-13.2%
Downside
5.1%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 6.7; weakest: Catalyst at 4.9. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.7, Momentum at 6.0, and Technical at 6.0; the weakest are Catalyst at 4.9, Insider at 5.0, and Growth at 5.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.56 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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