Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.7 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 6.5 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.6x
- ▸PEG: 1.12
- ▸Attractively valued
BAH · Why this verdict
Why Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Cor (BAH) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.3 |
| Gross margin | 0.5 |
| Op margin | 3.8 |
| Net margin | 3.8 |
| Current ratio | 6.3 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 81%
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
2.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.9 |
| EPS growth | 4.1 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -6%
Momentum
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 9.9 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.6 |
| erm sentiment | 6.4 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.9 |
| quality rank | 7.0 |
| growth rank | 1.4 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.2 |
| support resistance | 3.6 |
| 52w position | 2.3 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.3 |
| days to cover | 5.2 |
| volatility | 2.5 |
| put call | 5.1 |
| implied vol | 2.9 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 1.3 |
- ▸High IV: 63%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 297.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.29
Upside
+3.6%
Downside
12.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.4 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.29 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.3, Catalyst at 7.0, and Sentiment at 6.2; the weakest are Growth at 2.5, Momentum at 3.9, and Technical at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.29 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.