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ATKRAtkore Inc.Sell5.8·$71.00-0.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock is optically cheap at a low forward multiple and a PEG ratio near zero, and about 11.5% of headroom remains to the near-term resistance target at a favorable risk/reward, but quality metrics fall below the minimum acceptable threshold, momentum is deteriorating, leverage is elevated, and free cash flow is negative — a combination that signals a value trap rather than a value opportunity until operating and cash-flow trends stabilize.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • Momentum Deteriorating Below ThresholdImproving
  • Cheap Valuation With Upside To TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 4 days (2026-08-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter security solutions (Safety & Infrastructure) for non-residential construction markets. Fiscal 2025 net sales were $2.85 billion, with approximately 88% from U.S.... Read more

$71.00-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.57%
IncomeYield1.70%Payout40.06%sustainable
Stop $66.03Target $75.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$82.33+16.0%3 analysts
$75.91our TP
$71.00price
$82.33mean
$86

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31

Recent Developments — Atkore Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-31T07:18:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
Target reached (-1.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.68
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States88%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 88%, 88%, and 90% respectively, of our net sales were sold to customers located in the United States'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers40%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, our top ten customers accounted for approximately 40% of net sales'
  • LOWCustomerSonepar USA
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, one customer, Sonepar USA, accounted for more than 10% of sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
2.5
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
8.9
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.50Resistance $77.46

Price Targets

$66
$76
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $66.03. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.91 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $66.03. Stop-loss: $66.03.

What are the risks of investing in ATKR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Target reached (-1.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ATKR overvalued or undervalued?

Atkore Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATKR?

10 analysts cover ATKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Atkore Inc. do?Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter...

Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter security solutions (Safety & Infrastructure) for non-residential construction markets. Fiscal 2025 net sales were $2.85 billion, with approximately 88% from U.S. customers; top-10 customers accounted for about 40% of net sales through electrical wholesale distributors and OEMs.

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