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AYIAcuity Inc.Sell5.5·$301.83+1.54%
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Acuity Inc. (AYI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. At $301.83, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations.

Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments — Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL) and Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS) — sold primarily in North America via electrical distributors, system integrators, and direct... Read more

$301.83+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.77%
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout5.21%sustainable
Stop $281.44Target $306.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$352.50+16.8%8 analysts
$306.68our TP
$301.83price
$352.50mean
$435

Sell if holding. At $301.83, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Acuity Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jun 25, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$350+16.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMexico55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 55% of our finished products are manufactured in Mexico'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source supplier situations
    10-K Item 1A: 'which on a limited basis, results in sole-source supplier situations'
  • LOWGeographicnon-U.S. net sales14%
    10-K Item 1: 'net sales initiated outside of the U.S. represented approximately 14% of total net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
5.9
Value Rank
7.7
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $270.62Resistance $314.25

Price Targets

$281
$307
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-25 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AYI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $301.83, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $281.44. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AYI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $306.68 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $281.44. Stop-loss: $281.44.

What are the risks of investing in AYI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico (55.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source supplier situations; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AYI overvalued or undervalued?

Acuity Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AYI?

13 analysts cover AYI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $353.

What does Acuity Inc. do?Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments —...

Acuity Inc. designs and markets lighting, building management systems, and audio-video platforms through two segments — Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL) and Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS) — sold primarily in North America via electrical distributors, system integrators, and direct accounts. The company employs approximately 13,800 people and manufactures about 55% of finished goods in Mexico, investing $140.2 million in R&D in fiscal 2025.

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