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AYIAcuity Inc.Sell6.2·$327.36
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat record and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 signal a high-quality business entering its next report in 9 days, but a technical death cross and just 1.4% headroom to the analyst consensus target leave the near-term risk/reward tilted against new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Piotroski Nine Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Death Cross Technical Block→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 23, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Acuity Inc. (AYI) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $327.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Acuity Inc. designs and manufactures lighting, lighting controls, building management systems and audio-video-control platforms through two segments, Acuity Brands Lighting and Acuity Intelligent Spaces, mainly in North America. Products reach customers through independent sales... Read more

$327.36-1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 25 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.96%
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.24%)Payout4.52%sustainable
Stop $309.28Analyst target $322.04(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$370.17+13.1%6 analysts
$327.36price
$370.17mean
$415

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $327.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 7, 202768d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE18.6%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta1.30
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$260-20.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicfinished products manufactured in Mexico49%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 49% of our finished products are manufactured in Mexico'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of suppliers, sole-source situations
    10-K Item 1A: 'there are a limited number of suppliers for certain components and certain purchased finished goods, which on a limited basis have resulted in and may result in sole-source supplier situations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-29Item 5.02LOW
    Board increased from nine to ten members effective September 24, 2026 and elected Nick Tzitzon (ServiceNow Vice Chairman) to the Board and its Audit and Governance Committees. Board appointment only; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
7.3
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $293.06Resistance $327.77

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-07 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AYI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $327.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $309.28. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AYI stock price target?

Analyst target $322.04 reached (−1.6% from $327.36); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $309.28. Stop-loss: $309.28.

What are the risks of investing in AYI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is AYI overvalued or undervalued?

Acuity Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AYI?

12 analysts cover AYI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $370.

What does Acuity Inc. do?Acuity Inc. designs and manufactures lighting, lighting controls, building management systems and audio-video-control...

Acuity Inc. designs and manufactures lighting, lighting controls, building management systems and audio-video-control platforms through two segments, Acuity Brands Lighting and Acuity Intelligent Spaces, mainly in North America. Products reach customers through independent sales agencies, electrical distributors, retailers and system integrators, serving new construction and renovation and retrofit demand. About 71% of finished goods are made in-house, with 49% of total finished goods coming from Mexico.

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