Value
8.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.1 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| PEG | 9.4 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 7.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.60
- ▸Attractively valued
ASO · Why this verdict
Why Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.0 |
| ROA | 4.1 |
| Gross margin | 3.0 |
| Op margin | 3.6 |
| Net margin | 3.1 |
| Current ratio | 6.7 |
| FCF quality | 1.2 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 15% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.1 |
| EPS growth | 2.9 |
Momentum
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 9.1 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 5.2 |
| Volume | 0.9 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $240,000 (0.007% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.8 |
| quality rank | 3.9 |
| growth rank | 2.8 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.5 |
| support resistance | 4.1 |
| 52w position | 6.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.2 |
| days to cover | 4.8 |
| volatility | 2.9 |
| put call | 3.1 |
| implied vol | 0.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.9 |
| debt equity | 5.8 |
- ▸High short interest: 16%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.54
- ▸High IV: 79%
- ▸Above max pain $35
Catalyst
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Earnings in 1 days
- ▸Dividend: 116.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L3:NEWS_BLOCK|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (5)
- MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.62
Upside
+5.1%
Downside
8.2%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.3B<$5B
Investment implication
A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. The 10-dimension scores remain Value at 8.5 (strongest), but ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.5, Sentiment at 6.6, and Momentum at 5.9; the weakest are Growth at 3.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, and Catalyst at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.62 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.