Skip to main content
ARISAris Mining CorporationBuy Wait6.7·$17.16+7.99%
Open full analysis

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $17.08. BUY gates pass at $17.16, but consecutive earnings misses (2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $17.08 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. It also explores for silver and copper deposits. Aris Mining Corporation was formerly known as GCM... Read more

$17.16+89.6% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#18 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.10%
Entry $17.08(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $14.77Target $31.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.5:1Setup A.R:R 12.8:1
Analyst target$37.00+115.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $17.08. BUY gates pass at $17.16, but consecutive earnings misses (2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $17.08 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth136.5%
Beta1.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
4.6
Growth Rank
7.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
3.2
Bollinger
4.1
52w Position
4.7
Extreme gap up (7.2%) - may pull back
GatesMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.06Resistance $18.62

Price Targets

$15
$17
$31
A.Upside+83.3%
A.R:R5.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)12.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARIS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $17.08. BUY gates pass at $17.16, but consecutive earnings misses (2) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $17.08 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $31.45 (+83.3%), stop $14.77 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 12.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.45 (+89.6% upside). Target $31.45 (+83.3%), stop $14.77 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 12.8:1. Stop-loss: $14.77.

What are the risks of investing in ARIS?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ARIS overvalued or undervalued?

Aris Mining Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ARIS?

11 analysts cover ARIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Aris Mining Corporation do?Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and...

Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. It also explores for silver and copper deposits. Aris Mining Corporation was formerly known as GCM Mining Corp. and changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation in September 2022. The company was founded in 20222 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.)
Home Stocks ARIS

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance47d agoEarnings
GuruFocus48d ago
Simplywall.st26d ago
AD HOC NEWS27d ago
GuruFocus27d ago
Simplywall.st33d ago
AD HOC NEWS34d agoProduct
Insider Monkey34d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com40d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com40d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha41d ago
富途牛牛48d ago
GuruFocus49d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com20d ago
Scanx.trade20d ago
Kalkine Media34d ago
Markets Mojo35d ago
Stockhouse42d ago
GuruFocus13d ago
Discovery Alert25d ago
Loading more...