Value
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.8 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.19
ADEA · Why this verdict
Why Adeia (ADEA) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
9.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.5 |
| ROA | 8.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.6 |
| FCF quality | 9.7 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.1 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 29%
- ▸Strong margins: 27%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 141% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
8.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 4.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 28%
Insider
4.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $3,154,108 (0.099% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.5 |
| quality rank | 8.2 |
| growth rank | 6.1 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.1 |
| support resistance | 5.8 |
| 52w position | 6.9 |
| gap | 7.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.5 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 8.6 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.1 |
| debt equity | 5.9 |
- ▸High IV: 121%
- ▸Above max pain $10
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.4 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 69.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.6x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP->V9:POOR_ASYMMETRY|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.2>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Technology:0/10
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.59
Upside
+8.5%
Downside
14.4%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 47, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.2B<$5B
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 9.3 and growth 8.7 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 0.59 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 9.3, Growth at 8.7, and Momentum at 7.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.5, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.6, and Insider at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.59 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.