Value
10.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸PEG: 0.04
- ▸Attractively valued
ACGLO · Why this verdict
Why Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.1 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.9 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 2.3 |
| FCF quality | 7.4 |
| Moat | 6.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 25%
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
5.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.7 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -3%
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 3.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
5.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.2 |
| quality rank | 7.1 |
| growth rank | 2.5 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.4 |
| support resistance | 7.3 |
| 52w position | 8.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
9.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 9.8 |
| volatility | 10.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.5 |
Catalyst
5.5/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Dividend: 705.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (2)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Value at 10.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.0. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 9.8, and Technical at 6.8; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Insider at 5.0, and Sentiment at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.