Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ACGLO stock price target?

Take-profit $20.27 (-0.7% upside). Target $20.27 (-0.7%), stop $20.07 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ACGLO?

Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is ACGLO overvalued or undervalued?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about ACGLO?

27 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.7/5.

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through wholly owned subsidiaries. In 2025, Arch wrote $16.5 billion of net premiums with approximately $26.9 billion in capital; the company... Read more

$20.41-0.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 12 Insurance - Diversified

Stop $20.07Target $20.27(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 71%

Risks

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.4

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap—

EV/EBITDA1.2

Profit Mgn24.6%

ROE21.3%

Rev Growth-3.3%

Beta0.38

Dividend6.66%

Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value10.015%1.50

Quality6.515%0.97

Growth5.815%0.87

Momentum3.410%0.34

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity4.810%0.48

Peer Rank4.910%0.49

Technical Setup5.35%0.27

Risk Profile9.95%0.50

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.29

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.5

Macd

3.9

Rsi

4.5

Ma Position

7.2

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

45 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.63Resistance $20.68

Price Targets

$20

A.Upside-0.7%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ACGLO.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACGLO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.27 (-0.7%), stop $20.07 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACGLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.27 (-0.7% upside). Target $20.27 (-0.7%), stop $20.07 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $20.07.

What are the risks of investing in ACGLO?

Negative momentum.

Is ACGLO overvalued or undervalued?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACGLO?

27 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.7/5.

What does Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos do?Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage...