Value
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.6 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.8 |
| PEG | 9.7 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.55
- ▸Attractively valued
ABG · Why this verdict
Why Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.8 |
| ROA | 3.7 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.9 |
| Net margin | 1.5 |
| Current ratio | 3.8 |
| FCF quality | 6.5 |
| Moat | 3.6 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
6.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -1%
Momentum
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.8 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 73)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.6 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.70 (n=1)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $129,773 (0.004% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.4 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 3.8 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.2 |
| support resistance | 2.2 |
| 52w position | 4.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.7 |
| days to cover | 7.3 |
| volatility | 5.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.5 |
| debt equity | 4.2 |
- ▸Above max pain $155
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.6 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.4>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.70
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (3)
- MOMENTUM:5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.4>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.28
Upside
+3.4%
Downside
12.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.4, Sentiment at 6.9, and Growth at 6.2; the weakest are Technical at 2.9, Quality at 3.4, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 3 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.28 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.