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WHRWhirlpool CorporationSell5.1·$38.13-0.82%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Whirlpool's quality score of 1.7 is well below the investment minimum, with a catastrophic free cash flow deficit of -202% relative to net income, 3 earnings misses in the last 4 quarters including a -470% miss, and a confirmed death cross — despite an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 8.3x and 35% analyst upside, the fundamental deterioration makes this a position to exit.

Thesis pillars

  • Catastrophic Free Cash Flow DeficitStable
  • Analyst Upside Against Single Source Supplier RiskImproving
  • Severe Earnings Miss PatternDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Whirlpool Corporation (WHR) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 4 days (2026-08-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.13: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA Global segments, generating approximately $16 billion in net sales with 41,000 employees across 27 countries in 2025. Products sold under Whirlpool,... Read more

$38.13+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-13.36%
Stop $35.62Target $45.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$52.55+37.8%11 analysts
$45.71our TP
$38.13price
$52.55mean
$137

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.13: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — Whirlpool Corporation

Generated 2026-07-30T22:29:14Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for proprietary components
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn1.1%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth-9.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$25-34.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers for proprietary components
    10-K Item 1A: 'certain proprietary component parts used in some of our products are provided by single-source unaffiliated third-party suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Alessandro Perucchetti (formerly EVP and President, Whirlpool North America) employment terminated March 31, 2026 via Waiver and Release Agreement; receives $2,997,560 in two installments. Had stepped down from executive officer role January 1, 2026 per prior 8-K dated November 5, 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Peters (formerly EVP and CFO) employment terminated March 30, 2026 via Waiver and Release Agreement; receives $3,046,500 in two installments. Had stepped down as CFO and President, Whirlpool Asia effective December 31, 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Peters, Executive Vice President, announced resignation effective March 30, 2026. Had previously stepped down as CFO and President, Whirlpool Asia effective December 31, 2025 as part of ongoing talent planning. No successor named for EVP role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Net Margin
0.5
Roa
1.4
Roe
1.8
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
3.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -202% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 4 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
8.7
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.45Resistance $41.86

Price Targets

$36
$46
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.13: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.62. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.71 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $35.62. Stop-loss: $35.62.

What are the risks of investing in WHR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for proprietary components; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is WHR overvalued or undervalued?

Whirlpool Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WHR?

19 analysts cover WHR with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Whirlpool Corporation do?Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA...

Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA Global segments, generating approximately $16 billion in net sales with 41,000 employees across 27 countries in 2025. Products sold under Whirlpool, KitchenAid, Maytag, Brastemp, and other brands reach consumers through retailers, distributors, builders, and direct channels.

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