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WDWalker & Dunlop, IncSell4.5·$34.23
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Walker and Dunlop reported 32% revenue growth year-over-year and trades at a forward P/E of 8.8x with 13.8% upside to analyst targets, but has missed earnings in 2 of the last 4 quarters and carries an extremely elevated put/call ratio of 6.56 indicating strong options market caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth 32 Percent→Stable
  • Earnings Inconsistency Mixed Delivery↑Improving
  • Elevated Put Call Downside Concern↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Walker & Dunlop, Inc (WD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Mortgage Finance

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Walker & Dunlop is a commercial real estate services, finance, and technology company with three segments — Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate — focused on multifamily and affordable housing lending, brokerage, and investment management. It originates... Read more

$34.23+20.0% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#5 of 5 Mortgage Finance
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield7.95%(5y avg 2.77%)Payout241.07%at-risk
Stop $31.83Analyst target $41.08(−15% haircut)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst consensus$48.33+41.2%3 analysts
$41.08Analyst target
$34.23price
$48.33mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Walker & Dunlop, Inc

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth-10.0%
Beta1.51
Dividend7.95%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -10.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.2
Support Resistance
3.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.3
Roa
0.6
Roe
0.8
Net Margin
1.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
5.7
Gross Margin
10.0
No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
3.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.40Resistance $35.69

Price Targets

$32
$41
A.Upside+20.0%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $34.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $31.83. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WD stock price target?

Analyst target: $41.08 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $31.83. Stop-loss: $31.83.

What are the risks of investing in WD?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is WD overvalued or undervalued?

Walker & Dunlop, Inc trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WD?

12 analysts cover WD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Walker & Dunlop, Inc do?Walker & Dunlop is a commercial real estate services, finance, and technology company with three segments — Capital...

Walker & Dunlop is a commercial real estate services, finance, and technology company with three segments — Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate — focused on multifamily and affordable housing lending, brokerage, and investment management. It originates nearly all loans through Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and HUD/Ginnie Mae programs, retains servicing on most of them, and manages $2.7 billion of AUM through WDIP.

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