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WATWaters CorporationBuy Wait6.0·$368.13-1.81%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Waters Corporation has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and posted exceptional revenue growth of 91% year-over-year, but negative price momentum with a falling on-balance-volume and a cash flow red flag — free cash flow was -112% of net income — create meaningful fundamental concerns.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Revenue SurgeStable
  • Free Cash Flow Quality Red FlagStable
  • Negative Momentum Falling ObvStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Waters Corporation (WAT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Wait for pullback to $352.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $368.13. Engine's entry $352.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Waters Corporation manufactures liquid chromatography, mass spectrometry, and thermal analysis instruments for pharmaceutical, life science, and industrial markets, with approximately 69% of 2025 net sales outside the United States. Revenue comes from instrument systems,... Read more

$368.13+6.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-1.35%
Entry $352.08(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $330.65Target $375.85(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$402.87+9.4%23 analysts
$375.85our TP
$368.13price
$402.87mean
$349
$460

Wait for pullback to $352.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $368.13. Engine's entry $352.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Waters Corporation

About Waters Corporation

Waters Corporation sourced approximately 69% of its 2025 net sales from outside the United States, serving pharmaceutical, life science, environmental, and industrial customers with liquid chromatography, mass spectrometry, and thermal analysis instrumentation developed over more than 65 years. The company closed the $16.8 billion BDS Business acquisition from Becton, Dickinson on February 9, 2026, reorganizing into four segments: Waters Analytical Sciences, Waters Biosciences, Waters Advanced Diagnostics, and Waters Materials Sciences. Prior to that transaction, two operating segments — Waters LC/MS and TA Instruments — were aggregated into a single reporting segment for financial purposes.

Waters earns revenue across three product lines that customers frequently use together: LC instrument systems and the chromatography columns they consume (replaced at regular intervals by quality-control laboratories to maintain separation accuracy), MS instrument systems used in drug discovery and clinical diagnostics, and TA thermal analysis and rheometry instruments. The pharmaceutical and life science industries represent the primary end markets, with LC mandated by the FDA, EPA, and their international counterparts for safety and efficacy testing across drug development, nutritional safety, and environmental monitoring. Manufacturing is concentrated in Ireland and the United Kingdom, with key subcontractors in Singapore handling portions of production and support services. The BDS Business adds BD's former specimen collection products, infectious disease and cancer diagnostics reagent systems, and flow cytometry tools for immunology and oncology research — materially broadening end-market exposure beyond analytical instruments.

Show full overview

Waters' 69% international revenue share exposes the company to foreign currency movements, geopolitical disruptions, and government procurement policy shifts. China is the most explicitly flagged single-market risk: net sales there fell 10% in 2024 due to declining economic conditions, trade tensions, Chinese government tightening on procurement by state-funded customers, and increased local competition — before recovering 10% in 2025. Manufacturing in Ireland and the United Kingdom, combined with Singapore subcontractors, concentrates production in non-U.S. jurisdictions subject to their own regulatory and currency risks. The $4.0 billion of BDS Acquisition indebtedness assumed — a $3.5 billion tranche maturing February 2027 and a $500 million tranche maturing February 2028 — adds a refinancing risk layer to the internationally concentrated cost structure.

See also: Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

From Waters Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.3
P/E (Fwd)23.0
Mkt Cap$37.2B
EV/EBITDA37.3
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth91.4%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.77bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$250-32.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.6
Ps
3.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.8
Forward Pe
5.6
Forward P/E: 23.0xPEG: 1.67
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $351.77Resistance $383.52

Price Targets

$331
$352
$376
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $352.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $368.13. Engine's entry $352.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $375.85 (+2.1%), stop $330.65 (−11.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $375.85 (+6.8% upside). Target $375.85 (+2.1%), stop $330.65 (−11.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $330.65.

What are the risks of investing in WAT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is WAT overvalued or undervalued?

Waters Corporation trades at a P/E of 48.3 (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WAT?

30 analysts cover WAT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $403.

What does Waters Corporation do?Waters Corporation manufactures liquid chromatography, mass spectrometry, and thermal analysis instruments for...

Waters Corporation manufactures liquid chromatography, mass spectrometry, and thermal analysis instruments for pharmaceutical, life science, and industrial markets, with approximately 69% of 2025 net sales outside the United States. Revenue comes from instrument systems, consumable columns replaced at regular intervals, and post-warranty service plans; the company closed the $16.8 billion BDS Business acquisition from Becton, Dickinson in February 2026, adding diagnostics and biosciences segments.

Related stocks: A (Agilent Technologies, Inc.) · SHC (Sotera Health Company) · MEDP (Medpace Holdings, Inc.) · IDXX (IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.) · LH (Labcorp Holdings Inc.)
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