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VCYTVeracyte, Inc.Sell5.6·$48.54+2.56%
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Veracyte, Inc. (VCYT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. At $48.54, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials.

Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma (thyroid), Prosigna (breast), and Decipher Bladder, performed in CLIA labs in California and Texas plus IVD distribution internationally. Revenue comes from testing... Read more

$48.54+2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 26 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.77%
Stop $45.16Target $49.53(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$49.10+1.2%10 analysts
$49.53our TP
$48.54price
$49.10mean
$37
$57

Sell if holding. At $48.54, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.8
P/E (Fwd)24.9
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA32.4
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth21.5%
Beta1.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV104%elevated
Max Pain$30-38.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductDecipher Prostate and Afirma tests
    10-K Item 1A: 'financial results currently depend mainly on sales of our Decipher Prostate and Afirma laboratory developed tests (LDTs)'
  • MEDIUMCustomerMedicare Fee-For-Service34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Medicare Fee-For-Service accounted for 34%, 33% and 35% of our testing revenue'
  • HIGHSuppliersole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on sole suppliers for some of the reagents, equipment, and other materials used to perform or develop our tests, as well as certain sole source providers for kit components'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Veracyte appointed Dr. Kevin Haas (age 40), former CTO at Myriad Genetics, as Chief Development and Technology Officer effective March 24, 2026. New role; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
5.9
Growth Rank
6.5
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.05Resistance $50.54

Price Targets

$45
$50
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VCYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $48.54, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $45.16. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VCYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.53 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $45.16. Stop-loss: $45.16.

What are the risks of investing in VCYT?

Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is VCYT overvalued or undervalued?

Veracyte, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.8 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VCYT?

18 analysts cover VCYT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Veracyte, Inc. do?Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma...

Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma (thyroid), Prosigna (breast), and Decipher Bladder, performed in CLIA labs in California and Texas plus IVD distribution internationally. Revenue comes from testing services billed to Medicare (34%), Medicare Advantage (18%), and commercial payers (47%).

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