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VCVInvesco California Value MuniciHold4.8·$9.10
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Invesco California Value Municipal is a small, financially sound income vehicle with strong margins and a high Piotroski score, but declining revenue, a confirmed downtrend and a flagged yield-safety concern cap the case.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Peg→Stable
  • Strong Financial Quality→Stable
  • Declining Revenue Weak Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Invesco California Value Munici (VCV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. The fund is co-managed by Invesco Advisers, Inc., Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Limited, Invesco Asset Management Deutschland GmbH, Invesco Asset Management... Read more

$9.10+14.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#202 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.90%
IncomeYield8.52%(5y avg 5.46%)Payout301.59%at-risk
Stop $8.76Default target $10.46A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$447M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn32.8%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta0.78
Dividend8.52%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -3.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
6.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
3.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
7.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.64Resistance $9.19

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for VCV.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VCV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Default target $10.46 (+14.9%), stop $8.76 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VCV stock price target?

Default target: $10.46 (+14.9% upside). Default target $10.46 (+14.9%), stop $8.76 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $8.76.

What are the risks of investing in VCV?

Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is VCV overvalued or undervalued?

Invesco California Value Munici trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VCV?

8 analysts cover VCV with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does Invesco California Value Munici do?Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. The...

Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Invesco Ltd. The fund is co-managed by Invesco Advisers, Inc., Invesco Asset Management (Japan) Limited, Invesco Asset Management Deutschland GmbH, Invesco Asset Management Limited, Invesco Canada Ltd., Invesco Hong Kong Limited, and Invesco Senior Secured Management, Inc. It invests in the fixed income markets of the United States. The fund primarily invests in investment grade California municipal securities which include municipal bonds, municipal notes, municipal commercial paper, and lease obligations. It employs fundamental analysis with bottom-up security selection approach to create its portfolio. The fund was formerly known as Invesco Van Kampen California Value Municipal Income Trust. Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust was formed on April 30, 1993 and is domiciled in the United States.

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