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USCBUSCB Financial Holdings, Inc.Hold5.9·$22.44-0.27%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

USCB is a small-cap regional bank trading at attractively cheap multiples with strong balance-sheet quality signals and positive price momentum, but the price already sits roughly 5.6% above the analyst target, the V9 asymmetry gate has failed at -0.43, and insiders have been sell-only over the trailing period -- a maintain-not-add setup rather than a fresh buy.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation MultiplesStable
  • Strong Balance Sheet QualityStable
  • Positive Price MomentumDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. (USCB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans (71.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Miami metropolitan statistical area.

USCB Financial Holdings is the Miami-based holding company for U.S. Century Bank, operating 10 banking centers across South Florida with total consolidated assets of $2.8 billion as of December 31, 2025. The bank focuses on small-to-medium sized businesses, with specialty... Read more

$22.44-5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#116 of 227 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.12%Payout28.85%sustainable
Stop $21.50Target $23.14(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$24.35+8.5%5 analysts
$23.14our TP
$22.44price
$24.35mean
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans (71.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Miami metropolitan statistical area. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans (71.1%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Miami metropolitan statistical area
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$416M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.12%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate secured loans71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, approximately $1.55 billion, or 71.1%, of our total loan portfolio, was secured by real estate, in particular commercial real estate'
  • HIGHGeographicMiami metropolitan statistical area
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest concentration is in the Miami metropolitan statistical area; however, we are also focused on growth in other urban Florida markets'
  • HIGHregulatoryFDIC and Florida Office of Financial Regulation
    10-K Item 1: 'the Bank is subject to ongoing and comprehensive supervision, regulation, examination, and enforcement by the FDIC and the Florida Office of Financial Regulation ("FOFR")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.47Resistance $23.61

Price Targets

$22
$23
A.Upside-5.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USCB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans (71.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Miami metropolitan statistical area. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $23.14 (+3.1%), stop $21.50 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.14 (-5.6% upside). Target $23.14 (+3.1%), stop $21.50 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $21.50.

What are the risks of investing in USCB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans (71.1%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Miami metropolitan statistical area; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is USCB overvalued or undervalued?

USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USCB?

11 analysts cover USCB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. do?USCB Financial Holdings is the Miami-based holding company for U.S. Century Bank, operating 10 banking centers across...

USCB Financial Holdings is the Miami-based holding company for U.S. Century Bank, operating 10 banking centers across South Florida with total consolidated assets of $2.8 billion as of December 31, 2025. The bank focuses on small-to-medium sized businesses, with specialty verticals in SBA lending, yacht financing, homeowner association banking, and correspondent banking for Latin American institutions. Approximately 71.1% of its loan portfolio is secured by real estate, concentrated in the Miami metropolitan area.

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