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UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.Hold6.1·$34.63+1.05%
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United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

United Community Banks is a $28.0B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Greenville, SC, operating United Community Bank primarily in Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, and Alabama, plus nationally through SBA/USDA and equipment finance... Read more

$34.63-1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#54 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.89%(5y avg 2.96%)Payout36.26%sustainable
Stop $33.27Target $34.07(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$38.17+10.2%6 analysts
$34.07our TP
$34.63price
$38.17mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)
Under M&A bid - upside capped at deal spread, deal failure risk

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.5%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth14.4%
Beta0.84
Dividend2.89%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV108%elevated
Max Pain$35+1.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jefferson L. Harralson, EVP and CFO, entered agreement to resign effective December 31, 2026. He will receive regular salary through that date plus 2026 incentive bonus. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.0
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.84Resistance $34.77

Price Targets

$33
$34
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! M&A event: 'definitive agreement' detected
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UCB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Target $34.07 (-1.6%), stop $33.27 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.07 (-1.6% upside). Target $34.07 (-1.6%), stop $33.27 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $33.27.

What are the risks of investing in UCB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Under M&A bid - upside capped at deal spread, deal failure risk.

Is UCB overvalued or undervalued?

United Community Banks, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UCB?

11 analysts cover UCB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $38.

What does United Community Banks, Inc. do?United Community Banks is a $28.0B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Greenville, SC, operating United...

United Community Banks is a $28.0B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Greenville, SC, operating United Community Bank primarily in Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, and Alabama, plus nationally through SBA/USDA and equipment finance businesses. Total loans were $19.4B at December 31, 2025; the bank's primary federal regulator changed from FDIC to the Federal Reserve in 2024.

Related stocks: INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation)
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