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TRNSTranscat, Inc.Sell5.8·$88.12+0.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Transcat shows excellent cash conversion, a top Piotroski score, and industry-leading peer growth rank, but consecutive earnings misses, negative momentum, and an already-reached analyst target argue for a cautious near-term stance.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion PiotroskiStable
  • Industry Growth LeaderStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses Negative MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS services, and separately operates as a value-added distributor and rental source of test and measurement instruments from roughly 400 brands. The company serves... Read more

$88.12+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.46%
Stop $82.72Target $92.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$101.33+15.0%3 analysts
$92.32our TP
$88.12price
$101.33mean
$105

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Transcat, Inc.

About Transcat, Inc.

Transcat operates 33 calibration service centers across the United States, Canada, and Ireland as of fiscal year 2026, performing more than 1,200,000 calibrations annually for approximately 27,000 customers across its Service and Distribution segments. The company's Service segment customer base concentrates in the life science, pharmaceutical, medical device, aerospace, defense, and energy and utilities industries, while its Distribution segment sells and rents more than 75,000 test and measurement products from roughly 400 brands. In April 2026, Transcat expanded its footprint further by acquiring SCM Metrology and Laboratories, a calibration provider based in Costa Rica.

Transcat earns higher-margin, recurring revenue in its Service segment from periodic calibrations occurring on three-month to twenty-four-month cycles, subcontracting approximately 13% to 15% of Service segment work to third-party vendors with specialized capabilities it does not offer in-house. The lower-margin Distribution segment resells and rents instruments from roughly 400 manufacturer brands, competing against vendors that increasingly sell direct to end customers and against web-based distributors. Growth has been driven substantially by acquisitions: the company completed its two largest deals in company history in fiscal 2026 and 2025, including Essco Calibration Laboratory in the Boston area, its largest-ever acquisition, and Martin Calibration in Minneapolis, both aimed at expanding geographic reach and calibration capacity in life-science- and aerospace-heavy regions.

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Transcat's own 10-K flags a concentration of customers in the life science and other FDA-regulated businesses, alongside industrial, aerospace, defense, and energy and utilities customers, warning that a significant portion of its customers would be similarly affected by changes in economic, political, regulatory, and other industry conditions. That means federal or state budget pressure on life-science grant funding, or a deregulatory shift that dampens oil-and-gas capital spending, could simultaneously soften demand across a large share of Transcat's Service segment rather than being offset by a genuinely uncorrelated customer base.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Transcat, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)160.9
P/E (Fwd)42.8
Mkt Cap$857M
EV/EBITDA23.5
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE1.8%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlife science and other FDA-regulated businesses
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our Service segment has a concentration of customers in the life science and other FDA-regulated businesses'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Transcat's Compensation Committee approved a compensation increase for COO Michael W. West for fiscal 2027, effective March 29, 2026: $425,000 base salary, a 40%-of-base cash incentive target, and a 65%-of-base long-term equity incentive target. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.28Resistance $94.20

Price Targets

$83
$92
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRNS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.12 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $82.72. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRNS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.32 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $82.72. Stop-loss: $82.72.

What are the risks of investing in TRNS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is TRNS overvalued or undervalued?

Transcat, Inc. trades at a P/E of 160.9 (forward 42.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRNS?

10 analysts cover TRNS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Transcat, Inc. do?Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS...

Transcat provides accredited calibration, reliability, maintenance optimization, quality and compliance, and CMMS services, and separately operates as a value-added distributor and rental source of test and measurement instruments from roughly 400 brands. The company serves approximately 27,000 customers through its Service and Distribution segments, operating 33 calibration service centers across the U.S., Canada, and Ireland as of fiscal year 2026, with no single customer accounting for 3% or more of total revenue in fiscal 2026 or 2025.

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