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TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri ASSell5.4·$5.76-0.17%
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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS (TKC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.76: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global system for mobile communications (GSM) network in Turkey, Belarus, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through the... Read more

$5.76+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#18 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield52.00%
IncomeYield3.82%(5y avg 4.82%)Payout43.15%sustainable
Stop $5.48Target $6.49(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$7.63+32.5%2 analysts
$6.49our TP
$5.76price
$7.63mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.76: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.68
Dividend3.82%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV226%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.7
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.6
Roe
2.4
Roa
3.2
Net Margin
3.7
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.62Resistance $6.85

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TKC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.76: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.48. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TKC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.49 (+12.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.48. Stop-loss: $5.48.

What are the risks of investing in TKC?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is TKC overvalued or undervalued?

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TKC?

14 analysts cover TKC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS do?Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global...

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in establishing and operating a global system for mobile communications (GSM) network in Turkey, Belarus, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Germany, and the Netherlands. It operates through the Turkcell Turkiye, Turkcell International, and Techfin segments. The company is involved in information technology, value added GSM, and entertainment investment, as well as research and development, digital and insurance agency, property investments, electricity energy trade, and wholesale and retail electricity sales activities. It also provides telecommunications, television, and content; digitalization; sales, delivery, and digital sales; consumer financing; cloud solutions; online radio, television, and on-demand streaming; telecommunications infrastructure; electronic payment; and develop software products and services. In addition, the company offers customer relations and human resources management; directory assistance; payment services and e-money; internet search engine and browser; venture capital investment fund; meal coupons and cards; data processing; data center and cloud; programming and technical support; and digital education services. Further, it provides training software developers. Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

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