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TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri ASSell5.5·$5.77-2.53%
TKC · Why this verdict

Why Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS (TKC) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.8/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.5
Fwd P/E9.2
PEG8.7
  • Forward P/E: 10.9x
  • PEG: 0.72
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.4
ROA3.2
Gross margin1.6
Op margin0.0
Net margin3.7
Current ratio6.1
Moat5.0
Piotroski F8.9
  • No competitive moat
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

4.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.7
EPS growth5.0

Momentum

4.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD6.0
OBV1.0
MA position2.2
Volume10.0
vol acceleration2.6
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
  • Volume surge (2.4x avg) on selloff

Sentiment

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target8.7
erm sentiment5.2
  • Analyst upside: 32%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.2
quality rank4.4
growth rank7.3

Technical

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.8
support resistance8.8
52w position6.1
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.9
days to cover9.2
volatility6.4
put call0.0
beta8.9
debt equity6.7
  • Elevated put/call: 2.00

Catalyst

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety4.8
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:73d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.2<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.51
Upside
+12.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.2<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.8, Technical at 6.9, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.6, Quality at 3.9, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.51 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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