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TICTIC Solutions, Inc.Sell5.6·$10.39
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIC Solutions has posted 108% year-over-year revenue growth — the highest in its specialty business services peer group — with analyst consensus implying 38% upside and a favorable 1.83x reward-to-risk ratio, but a 3-of-3 earnings miss streak averaging -251% below consensus and cash-negative operations create a significant execution risk that needs resolution before the growth story can be trusted.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Negative Operations→Stable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • Earnings Miss Streak Severe↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.

TIC Solutions provides nondestructive testing, rope access, consulting engineering, and geospatial services to industrial operators and public-sector clients across North America, with additional operations in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. The company works under multi-year... Read more

$10.39+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#13 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.43%
Stop $9.69Analyst target $10.56(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$12.14+16.9%7 analysts
$10.56Analyst target
$10.39price
$12.14mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TIC Solutions, Inc.

About TIC Solutions, Inc.

TIC Solutions operates three reportable segments — Inspection and Mitigation (nondestructive testing and rope access), Consulting Engineering, and Geospatial — following the August 4, 2025 completion of the NV5 Global, Inc. acquisition, which added infrastructure engineering and geospatial analytics to the historical industrial inspection platform. The company serves clients across North American industrial, infrastructure, and public-sector markets, with approximately 12.9% of the workforce covered by collective bargaining agreements as of December 31, 2025. A majority of work is performed under multi-year master service agreements.

TIC Solutions earns revenue through time-and-materials and cost-plus contracts in Inspection and Mitigation and a higher proportion of fixed-price and unit-rate contracts in Consulting Engineering, with subscription-based geospatial software providing a recurring revenue layer in the Geospatial segment. Oil and gas clients — including energy processing, refining, pipeline, and oilsands operators — account for a substantial portion of historical revenues, exposing the company to cyclical capital spending in those end markets. Public-sector clients, including federal, state, and municipal agencies, transportation authorities, and public utilities, represent a significant share of demand in Consulting Engineering and Geospatial, supported by compliance-driven and regulatory requirements that are largely nondiscretionary. Client arrangements are typically multi-year master service agreements terminable by either party on short notice. The company's competitors range from small owner-operated regional firms to multi-billion dollar national service providers with greater financial resources.

Show full overview

Approximately 12.9% of TIC Solutions' employees were covered by collective bargaining agreements as of December 31, 2025, and the 10-K discloses that certain unionized employees have historically participated in strikes and work stoppages. State and other public employee unions have challenged the validity of propositions permitting public agencies to contract with private service firms; if such challenges succeed, they could restrict TIC's addressable market for engineering and geospatial government contracts. Additionally, some of the company's largest oil and gas and chemical customers require contractors to maintain acceptable safety records, and poor safety performance could disqualify TIC from bidding at those facilities.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From TIC Solutions, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30

Recent Developments — TIC Solutions, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.7% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn-5.6%
ROE-7.1%
Rev Growth86.1%
Beta1.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomeroil and gas clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our clients in the oil and gas industries account for a substantial portion of our historical revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Talman Pizzey announced retirement effective March 31, 2026. No successor named; Pizzey to remain on Board of Directors and provide consulting through December 31, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
3.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 5 days

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Operating Margin
0.7
Gross Margin
2.8
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
8.9
Current Ratio
9.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.18Resistance $10.40

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.39: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.69. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIC stock price target?

Analyst target: $10.56 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $9.69. Stop-loss: $9.69.

What are the risks of investing in TIC?

Target reached (1.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is TIC overvalued or undervalued?

TIC Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIC?

11 analysts cover TIC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does TIC Solutions, Inc. do?TIC Solutions provides nondestructive testing, rope access, consulting engineering, and geospatial services to...

TIC Solutions provides nondestructive testing, rope access, consulting engineering, and geospatial services to industrial operators and public-sector clients across North America, with additional operations in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. The company works under multi-year master service agreements on time-and-materials, fixed-price, and subscription bases; oil and gas clients represent a substantial portion of historical revenues. TIC acquired NV5 Global in August 2025 and rebranded from Acuren Corporation.

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