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TFCTruist Financial CorporationBuy Wait5.8·$52.01-0.57%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Put Call Hedging PressureDeteriorating
  • Attractive Bank ValuationStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Truist Financial Corporation (TFC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $49.75. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.01. Engine's entry $49.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers, businesses, and municipalities through Wholesale Banking and Consumer/Small Business Banking segments. Revenue flows from net interest income on a broad loan book and... Read more

$52.01-5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#141 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.93%(5y avg 4.70%)Payout47.82%sustainable
Entry $49.75(support + ATR (held))Stop $47.56Target $53.14(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$54.86+5.5%18 analysts
$53.14our TP
$52.01price
$54.86mean
$45
$61

Wait for pullback to $49.75. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.01. Engine's entry $49.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 16, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$63.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.7%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.88
Dividend3.93%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.18bearish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicFlorida deposits22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Florida | | 22 | % | | 4th | | 441'
  • LOWGeographicGeorgia deposits21%
    10-K Item 1: 'Georgia | | 21 | | | 1st | | 202'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Catherine P. Bessant as director of Truist Financial Corporation effective June 5, 2026; also appointed to Board of Truist Bank. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders at the April 28, 2026 Annual Meeting approved the amendment and restatement of the Truist Financial Corporation 2022 Incentive Plan. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.37Resistance $54.22

Price Targets

$48
$50
$53
A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-16 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $49.75. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.01. Engine's entry $49.75 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $53.14 (+2.2%), stop $47.56 (−9.4%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.14 (-5.1% upside). Target $53.14 (+2.2%), stop $47.56 (−9.4%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $47.56.

What are the risks of investing in TFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TFC overvalued or undervalued?

Truist Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TFC?

26 analysts cover TFC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Truist Financial Corporation do?Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers,...

Truist Financial Corporation operates 1,927 branches across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, serving consumers, businesses, and municipalities through Wholesale Banking and Consumer/Small Business Banking segments. Revenue flows from net interest income on a broad loan book and fee income from investment banking, wealth management, and treasury services. Truist Bank ranks among the 10 largest commercial banks in the U.S.

Related stocks: COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.) · VLY (Valley National Bancorp) · PB (Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.)
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