Starz Entertainment shows insider selling and a below-floor quality score against declining revenue, with a negative asymmetry read after the prior target was reached and options positioning tilted defensively.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Floor Breach Declining Revenue↑Improving
- Insider Selling Bearish Signal→Stable
- Negative Asymmetry Target Reached→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 26, 2025
Starz Entertainment Corp. (STRZ) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Communication Services · Entertainment
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $385M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.31% of cap).
Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $385M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.31% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $385M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Starz Entertainment Corp.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
Latest news
- NEWS Starz Announces Distribution Agreement Reached with Verizon — fiscal.ai Oct 20, 2026
- NEWS STARZ Restores Channel, On-Demand And App Access For Verizon Fios Subscribers Under New Distribution Agreement — benzinga Oct 20, 2026
- NEWS Apollo-Backed Legendary Makes Fresh Bid For Lionsgate, Stock Jumps — benzinga Oct 20, 2026
- NEWS Reported Earlier, STARZ Warns Verizon Fios Customers May Lose All STARZ Channels, On Demand And App Unless Distribution — benzinga Oct 1, 2026
- NEWS 9 Communication Services Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Intraday Session — benzinga Sep 23, 2026
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-06Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-09-15Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -25.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $385M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.31% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $385M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Analyst target $30.62 (+36.1%), stop $20.93 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $30.62 (+36.1% upside). Analyst target $30.62 (+36.1%), stop $20.93 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $20.93.
Market cap $385M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.31% of cap).
Starz Entertainment Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
16 analysts cover STRZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Starz Entertainment Corp. do?Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business")...
Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the domestic distribution of STARZ branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top ("OTT") streaming platforms and distributors, on a direct-to-consumer basis through the Starz App and through wholesale U.S.