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STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.2·$47.85+1.51%
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S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $47.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction); Concentration risk — Geographic: Pennsylvania and Ohio market area.

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania-chartered bank holding company ($9.9B assets) with 72 branches in PA and OH, providing commercial, consumer, and small-business banking plus wealth management. Primary regulators are the FDIC and Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities.

$47.85-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#133 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 3.74%)Payout39.33%sustainable
Stop $45.81Target $46.96(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$45.67-4.6%6 analysts
$46.96our TP
$47.85price
$45.67mean
$44

Sell if holding. At $47.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction); Concentration risk — Geographic: Pennsylvania and Ohio market area. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Pennsylvania and Ohio market area
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.85
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our loans are to commercial borrowers including C&I, Commercial Real Estate, or CRE, and construction loans.'
  • HIGHGeographicPennsylvania and Ohio market area
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our loan portfolio is concentrated within our market area, and our lack of geographic diversification increases our risk profile.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02LOW
    Amended employment agreement with CEO Christopher McComish effective January 1, 2026, four-year term with $785,000 minimum base salary and 67% target annual bonus. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Earnings Growth
3.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
5.4
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.08Resistance $47.92

Price Targets

$46
$47
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $47.85, A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction); Concentration risk — Geographic: Pennsylvania and Ohio market area. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $45.81. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.96 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $45.81. Stop-loss: $45.81.

What are the risks of investing in STBA?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (C&I, CRE, and construction); Concentration risk — Geographic: Pennsylvania and Ohio market area; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is STBA overvalued or undervalued?

S&T Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STBA?

13 analysts cover STBA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $46.

What does S&T Bancorp, Inc. do?S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania-chartered bank holding company ($9.9B assets) with 72 branches in PA and OH, providing...

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania-chartered bank holding company ($9.9B assets) with 72 branches in PA and OH, providing commercial, consumer, and small-business banking plus wealth management. Primary regulators are the FDIC and Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation)
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