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S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches in Pennsylvania and Ohio as of December 31, 2025. Revenue from net interest income on commercial and consumer loans and trust/wealth advisory fees ($2.1B AUA).

$44.41-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#124 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $42.53Target $43.98(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$44.83+1.0%6 analysts
$43.98our TP
$44.41price
$44.83mean
$40
$48

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.85
Dividend3.35%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial loans (C&I, CRE, construction)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our loans are to commercial borrowers including C&I, Commercial Real Estate, or CRE, and construction loans.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicmarket area geographic concentration
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our loan portfolio is concentrated within our market area, and our lack of geographic diversification increases our risk profile.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02LOW
    S&T Bancorp and CEO Christopher McComish entered amended employment agreement effective January 1, 2026 with four-year term; base salary no less than $785,000 and 67% bonus target. Compensatory arrangement update, no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Earnings Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.15Resistance $44.88

Price Targets

$43
$44
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STBA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $43.98 (-1.0%), stop $42.53 (−4.4%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.98 (-1.0% upside). Target $43.98 (-1.0%), stop $42.53 (−4.4%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Stop-loss: $42.53.

What are the risks of investing in STBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Weak growth.

Is STBA overvalued or undervalued?

S&T Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STBA?

13 analysts cover STBA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $45.

What does S&T Bancorp, Inc. do?S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches...

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches in Pennsylvania and Ohio as of December 31, 2025. Revenue from net interest income on commercial and consumer loans and trust/wealth advisory fees ($2.1B AUA).

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