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SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & RefiniSell5.5·$13.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sunshine Silver Mining is a pre-revenue silver developer in an out-of-favor sector, with a $16.68 analyst target 26.0% above the $13.23 price and institutions accumulating, offset by quality of 3.0/10, a missed quarter and heavily bearish option positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Pre Revenue Earnings Miss↓Deteriorating
  • Sector Out Of Favor Value→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini (SSMR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.60: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.00; Below-average business quality.

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores silver and copper deposits. The company's principal asset is the Sunshine Complex covering an area of 9,561 hectares located in... Read more

$13.60+22.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 34 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $12.65Analyst target $16.68(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst consensus$19.17+40.9%6 analysts
$16.68Analyst target
$13.60price
$19.17mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.60: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-48.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-31.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C12.00bearish
IV111%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 13 days

Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.8
Days To Cover
4.8
Debt Equity
10.0
High short interest: 16%Elevated put/call: 12.00High IV: 111%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $11.38Resistance $15.80

Price Targets

$13
$17
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.60: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 12.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.65. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSMR stock price target?

Analyst target: $16.68 (+22.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.65. Stop-loss: $12.65.

What are the risks of investing in SSMR?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is SSMR overvalued or undervalued?

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -48.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SSMR?

12 analysts cover SSMR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini do?Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the...

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores silver and copper deposits. The company's principal asset is the Sunshine Complex covering an area of 9,561 hectares located in the Coeur d'Alene Mining District located in the Silver Valley in Idaho. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Kellogg, Idaho.

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