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DBA Sempra (SRE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Sempra is a regulated utility holding company focused on California (SDG&E and SoCalGas) and Texas (80.25% owned Oncor, 50% Sharyland Utilities), plus Sempra Infrastructure with LNG and energy networks in the US and Mexico. Revenue is primarily from regulated electric and gas... Read more

$95.60+3.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 5 Utilities - Diversified
Stop $92.02Target $99.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$104.29+9.1%17 analysts
$99.02our TP
$95.60price
$104.29mean
$93
$118

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.6
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$62.1B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta0.68
Dividend2.76%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $92.18Resistance $101.04

Price Targets

$92
$99
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $95.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $92.02. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.02 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $92.02. Stop-loss: $92.02.

What are the risks of investing in SRE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SRE overvalued or undervalued?

DBA Sempra trades at a P/E of 34.6 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRE?

23 analysts cover SRE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $104.

What does DBA Sempra do?Sempra is a regulated utility holding company focused on California (SDG&E and SoCalGas) and Texas (80.25% owned Oncor,...

Sempra is a regulated utility holding company focused on California (SDG&E and SoCalGas) and Texas (80.25% owned Oncor, 50% Sharyland Utilities), plus Sempra Infrastructure with LNG and energy networks in the US and Mexico. Revenue is primarily from regulated electric and gas utility operations.

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