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SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Buy Wait6.8·$145.23
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Space Exploration Technologies currently lacks a valid trade setup due to a price data gap, and the available fundamentals show a richly valued, revenue-declining business with margin compression despite an otherwise strong Piotroski quality score.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap Revenue Decline Margin Compression↓Deteriorating
  • Price Data Availability Issue↓Deteriorating
  • Expensive Valuation Strong Quality Score→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Wait for pullback to $137.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $145.23. Engine's entry $137.93 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable... Read more

$145.23+62.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 65 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $137.93(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $128.27Target $236.55(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst consensus$257.11+77.0%36 analysts
$236.55our TP
$145.23price
$257.11mean
$70
$800

Wait for pullback to $137.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $145.23. Engine's entry $137.93 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.20, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)631.4
P/E (Fwd)61.9
Mkt Cap$1.97T
EV/EBITDA163.7
Profit Mgn-8.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth161.4%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts47

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.52bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$85-41.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.5
Volume
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.2
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $140.66Resistance $176.42

Price Targets

$128
$138
$237
A.Upside+62.9%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPCX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $137.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $145.23. Engine's entry $137.93 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.20, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $236.55 (+62.9%), stop $128.27 (−13.2%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPCX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $236.55 (+62.9% upside). Target $236.55 (+62.9%), stop $128.27 (−13.2%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Stop-loss: $128.27.

What are the risks of investing in SPCX?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is SPCX overvalued or undervalued?

Space Exploration Technologies trades at a P/E of 631.4 (forward 61.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SPCX?

47 analysts cover SPCX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $257.

What does Space Exploration Technologies do?Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada,...

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It also provides launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and engages in the launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. Its company's Connectivity segment operates broadband data and communications network by various Starlink satellites in low-earth orbit, delivering connectivity to various consumers, enterprise, and government customers. The company's AI segment operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning a frontier LLM Grok; AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers; X, a real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform; and AI computational infrastructure. Space Exploration Technologies Corp. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Starbase, Texas.

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