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SGMLSigma Lithium CorporationSell4.3·$15.17+16.78%
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Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It serves lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric vehicle industries. The company was formerly known as Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation and changed its name to Sigma... Read more

$15.17+19.0% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#17 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.22%
Stop $13.70Target $17.53(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$20.63+36.0%2 analysts
$17.53our TP
$15.17price
$20.63mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12

Recent Developments — Sigma Lithium Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA687.3
Profit Mgn-41.8%
ROE-49.1%
Rev Growth-11.2%
Beta0.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV119%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
2.7

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
10.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.90Resistance $18.34

Price Targets

$14
$18
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SGML stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.70. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGML stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.53 (+19.0% upside). Prior stop was $13.70. Stop-loss: $13.70.

What are the risks of investing in SGML?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is SGML overvalued or undervalued?

Sigma Lithium Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SGML?

7 analysts cover SGML with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Sigma Lithium Corporation do?Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It serves...

Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It serves lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric vehicle industries. The company was formerly known as Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation and changed its name to Sigma Lithium Corporation in July 2021. Sigma Lithium Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · USAS (Americas Gold and Silver Corpor) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) · ALM (Almonty Industries Inc.) · USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.)
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