Skip to main content
SDRLSeadrill LimitedSell5.0·$44.25-0.32%
Open full analysis

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.25: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill... Read more

$44.25+10.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.12%
Stop $42.11Target $49.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$56.43+27.5%7 analysts
$49.09our TP
$44.25price
$56.43mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.25: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Seadrill Limited

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 4.30% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn-5.0%
ROE-2.4%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerPetrobras36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Petrobras| 36 | %| | 18 | %| | 16 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerSonadrill22%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sonadrill| 22 | %| | 22 | %| | 17 | %'
  • LOWCustomerTalos11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Talos| 11 | %| | 2 | %| | 7 | %'
  • LOWCustomerLLOG10%
    10-K Item 1: 'LLOG| 10 | %| | 9 | %| | 9 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Samir Ali appointed President and CEO effective March 12, 2026, replacing Simon Johnson immediately. Ali previously served as EVP Chief Commercial Officer since August 2022. Annual base salary set at $750,000; successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
7.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 23)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
2.2
Operating Margin
2.9
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.41Resistance $55.47

Price Targets

$42
$49
A.Upside+10.9%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 4.30% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SDRL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.25: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.11. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SDRL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.09 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $42.11. Stop-loss: $42.11.

What are the risks of investing in SDRL?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 4.30% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is SDRL overvalued or undervalued?

Seadrill Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SDRL?

16 analysts cover SDRL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Seadrill Limited do?Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units),...

Seadrill is an offshore drilling contractor operating 10 active drillships and semi-submersible rigs (15 total units), providing deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling services to oil and gas companies globally on dayrate contracts. Top four customers—Petrobras (36%), Sonadrill (22%), Talos (11%), and LLOG (10%)—accounted for 79% of 2025 total operating revenues.

Related stocks: RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.)
Home Stocks SDRL

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga31d ago
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga36d ago
Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga55d agoProduct
Benzinga60d agoAnalyst
Benzinga61d ago
Benzinga71d agoProduct