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SBSafe Bulkers, IncHold6.9·$8.06
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Safe Bulkers offers a cheap, high-margin valuation profile, but a flagged earnings-quality concern, a dividend yield-trap warning, and a slightly negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio support a call to hold rather than add to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation Strong Margins→Stable
  • Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
  • Dividend Yield Trap Warning↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore. Its fleet consists of 45 vessels,... Read more

$8.06+0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#5 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.15%
IncomeYield3.72%(5y avg 3.79%)Payout27.27%sustainable
Stop $7.50Analyst target $8.07(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$9.50+17.9%2 analysts
$8.07Analyst target
$8.06price
$9.50mean
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$917M
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn28.3%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth33.0%
Beta—
Dividend3.72%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.62Resistance $9.01

Price Targets

$8
$8
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+1) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside 0.2% (lift floor +1.5%)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $8.07 (+0.2%), stop $7.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SB stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.07 (+0.2% upside). Analyst target $8.07 (+0.2%), stop $7.50 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.50.

What are the risks of investing in SB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SB overvalued or undervalued?

Safe Bulkers, Inc trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SB?

10 analysts cover SB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Safe Bulkers, Inc do?Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally....

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore. Its fleet consists of 45 vessels, including 8 Panamax class vessels, 12 Kamsarmax class vessels, 17 post-Panamax class vessels, and 8 Capesize class vessels with an aggregate carrying capacity of 4,559,000 deadweight tons. Safe Bulkers, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Monaco.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP)
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