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RMDResMed Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$218.27-0.60%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ResMed is a wide-moat medical devices company with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 25% return on equity, and four consecutive earnings beats, currently experiencing a technical downtrend that creates an accumulation opportunity for investors with a 12-to-18 month horizon.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Technical Downtrend Accumulation WindowDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ResMed Inc. (RMD) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Wait for pullback to $204.24. At $218.27 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $204.24 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ResMed designs cloud-connected medical devices and software to treat obstructive sleep apnea, COPD, and other chronic respiratory conditions, plus residential-care management software for home health, hospice, and skilled-nursing providers, selling in more than 140 countries... Read more

$218.27+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 30 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.98%
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout23.01%sustainable
Entry $204.24(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $192.10Target $221.79(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$246.44+12.9%16 analysts
$221.79our TP
$218.27price
$246.44mean
$175
$320

Wait for pullback to $204.24. At $218.27 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $204.24 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ResMed Inc.

About ResMed Inc.

ResMed's cloud-connected AirView platform serves more than 30 million sleep-apnea and respiratory patients worldwide, while its Residential Care Software supports providers managing more than 160 million individual patient accounts; sales in combined Europe, Asia, and other regions outside the U.S. made up approximately 36% of net revenue in both fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024. The company's device portfolio spans CPAP and bilevel systems, including the AirCurve 11 Series, alongside diagnostic tools such as NightOwl and ApneaLink Air.

ResMed earns revenue from device sales — CPAP and bilevel systems, high-flow therapy devices, ventilators, masks, and accessories — sold through wholly owned subsidiaries and independent distributors, plus recurring cloud-service and software revenue from its Residential Care Software business serving home medical equipment, hospice, and skilled-nursing customers. The company manufactures substantially all of its products outside the U.S. while selling in more than 140 countries, exposing it to tariff, currency, and cross-border supply-chain risk; U.S. tariffs announced in 2025 and potential retaliatory measures are cited as a specific cost pressure on components and finished goods. Reimbursement depends on government and private insurance plans covering CPAP and ventilation therapy, and ResMed competes against pharmaceutical alternatives such as GLP-1 drugs as well as device rivals including Philips, whose flow-generator recall and consent decree have temporarily reduced its competitive presence in the U.S. market. In May 2025, the company acquired VirtuOx, an independent diagnostic testing facility, to expand home-based sleep and respiratory diagnostics.

Show full overview

Two 2025-vintage risk factors point to a widening regulatory and trade perimeter around ResMed's supply chain: the 10-K discloses that the company manufactures substantially all of its products outside the U.S. just as new and threatened U.S. and retaliatory tariffs target cross-border medical-device trade, and separately warns that the May 2025 acquisition of VirtuOx subjects ResMed to new areas of direct federal healthcare oversight it did not previously carry as a device maker. Together, a foreign-manufactured device book meeting tariff exposure and a diagnostics unit meeting new federal oversight represent two distinct, dated expansions of ResMed's regulatory footprint beyond its historical FDA device-clearance risk.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From ResMed Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.9
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$31.5B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn26.9%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$150-31.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope, Asia and other regions36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales in combined Europe, Asia and other regions accounted for approximately 36% and 36% of our net revenues in the ... years ended June 30, 2025 and June 30, 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHGeographicmanufacturing outside the U.S.
    10-K Item 1A: 'We manufacture substantially all of our products outside the U.S. and sell a significant portion of our products outside the U.S.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Brett Sandercock will retire from the CFO role effective May 4, 2026, becoming Special Advisor to the Chairman/CEO through 2027; retirement not due to any disagreement. Aaron Bloomer, former CFO of Exact Sciences, was appointed successor CFO effective May 4, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Rsi
3.0
Ma Position
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $215.80Resistance $242.40

Price Targets

$192
$204
$222
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RMD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $204.24. At $218.27 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $204.24 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $221.79 (+1.6%), stop $192.10 (−13.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $221.79 (+1.6% upside). Target $221.79 (+1.6%), stop $192.10 (−13.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $192.10.

What are the risks of investing in RMD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: manufacturing outside the U.S.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is RMD overvalued or undervalued?

ResMed Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.9 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RMD?

27 analysts cover RMD with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $246.

What does ResMed Inc. do?ResMed designs cloud-connected medical devices and software to treat obstructive sleep apnea, COPD, and other chronic...

ResMed designs cloud-connected medical devices and software to treat obstructive sleep apnea, COPD, and other chronic respiratory conditions, plus residential-care management software for home health, hospice, and skilled-nursing providers, selling in more than 140 countries with over 10,600 employees. Revenue comes from device sales (CPAP, bilevel, ventilators, masks) and software subscriptions, with more than 30 million patients on its AirView cloud platform and over 10 million registered on myAir.

Related stocks: WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · ISRG (Intuitive Surgical, Inc.) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.)
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