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RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.Sell4.6·$16.77+0.06%
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Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.77: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.

Rivian designs and manufactures electric vehicles—the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and commercial Electric Delivery Vans—at its Normal, Illinois factory. Revenue spans Automotive sales and Software & Services (including Volkswagen Group Joint Venture software licensing); R2 mid-size SUV... Read more

$16.77+7.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#13 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-5.79%
Stop $15.67Target $18.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$18.15+8.3%26 analysts
$18.18our TP
$16.77price
$18.15mean
$9
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.77: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.9
Mkt Cap$22.5B
EV/EBITDA-7.1
Profit Mgn-63.6%
ROE-65.7%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta1.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$1-94.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
7.3
Cash-burning: FCF -24% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.65Resistance $18.55

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RIVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.77: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.67. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RIVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.18 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $15.67. Stop-loss: $15.67.

What are the risks of investing in RIVN?

Target reached (-3.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is RIVN overvalued or undervalued?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RIVN?

34 analysts cover RIVN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?Rivian designs and manufactures electric vehicles—the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and commercial Electric Delivery Vans—at its...

Rivian designs and manufactures electric vehicles—the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and commercial Electric Delivery Vans—at its Normal, Illinois factory. Revenue spans Automotive sales and Software & Services (including Volkswagen Group Joint Venture software licensing); R2 mid-size SUV deliveries planned Q2 2026.

Related stocks: VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) · NIO (NIO Inc.) · RACE (Ferrari N.V.) · XPEV (XPeng Inc.) · PSNYW (Polestar Automotive Holding UK )
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