Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Rivian is an American EV manufacturer making the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and Electric Delivery Vans at its Normal, Illinois factory. It sells directly to consumers and commercial customers. A Joint Venture with Volkswagen Group develops software architecture for multiple VW brands.
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomeraffiliate of principal stockholder10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our automotive revenues has been from one customer that is an affiliate of one of our principal stockholders.'
- HIGHSuppliersingle- or limited-source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'Our products contain thousands of raw materials and product components that we purchase from hundreds of mostly single- or limited-source suppliers, for which no immediate or readily available alternative supplier exists.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -25.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.16. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $16.34 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.16. Stop-loss: $14.16.
Concentration risk — Customer: affiliate of principal stockholder; Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).
Rivian Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover RIVN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $18.
What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?Rivian is an American EV manufacturer making the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and Electric Delivery Vans at its Normal,...
Rivian is an American EV manufacturer making the R1T pickup, R1S SUV, and Electric Delivery Vans at its Normal, Illinois factory. It sells directly to consumers and commercial customers. A Joint Venture with Volkswagen Group develops software architecture for multiple VW brands.