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PSNParsons CorporationSell5.4·$58.22+0.67%
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Parsons Corporation (PSN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. At $58.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Concentration risk — Customer: one customer set within the federal government.

Parsons Corporation provides technology-driven defense and infrastructure solutions through Federal Solutions (51% of 2025 revenue) and Critical Infrastructure (49%) segments, generating $6.4B in revenue. The U.S. federal government and its agencies represent substantially all... Read more

$58.22+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#16 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.48%
Stop $54.19Target $60.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$69.64+19.6%11 analysts
$60.58our TP
$58.22price
$69.64mean
$55
$80

Sell if holding. At $58.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Concentration risk — Customer: one customer set within the federal government. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Parsons Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government
Concentration risk — Customer: one customer set within the federal government
Thin upside margin: 4.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.7
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta0.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$125+114.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government
    10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. government and its agencies represent substantially all of the revenue of our Federal Solutions segment'
  • HIGHCustomerone customer set within the federal government
    10-K Item 1A: 'One customer set within the federal government exceeded 20% of Parsons' revenue during 2025. The volume of work... was significantly reduced during 2025 and is currently winding down.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    CHRO Susan Balaguer announced retirement effective April 1, 2026, remaining in advisory role through May 2026. Soo Lagasse appointed as CHRO effective April 1, 2026. Clean handoff; $250K cash bonus paid to Balaguer.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved special retention PSU award to CEO Carey Smith with target grant-date value of $10M (60% PSUs, 40% RSUs), vesting over four years tied to EPS growth. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Value Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
3.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
3.0
Bollinger
3.3
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $48.76Resistance $62.10

Price Targets

$54
$61
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $58.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Concentration risk — Customer: one customer set within the federal government. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $54.19. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.58 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $54.19. Stop-loss: $54.19.

What are the risks of investing in PSN?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government; Concentration risk — Customer: one customer set within the federal government; Thin upside margin: 4.0%.

Is PSN overvalued or undervalued?

Parsons Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSN?

19 analysts cover PSN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Parsons Corporation do?Parsons Corporation provides technology-driven defense and infrastructure solutions through Federal Solutions (51% of...

Parsons Corporation provides technology-driven defense and infrastructure solutions through Federal Solutions (51% of 2025 revenue) and Critical Infrastructure (49%) segments, generating $6.4B in revenue. The U.S. federal government and its agencies represent substantially all Federal Solutions revenue; one confidential federal customer set exceeded 20% of consolidated 2025 revenues but is winding down.

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