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PLBCPlumas BancorpHold6.3·$63.24
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Plumas Bancorp is a profitable regional bank with a perfect 4-of-4 earnings beat streak, 37% margins and attractive valuation, but the price is already above the analyst target and 92% of exposure sits in Northern California and Northern Nevada.

Thesis pillars

  • Single Region Concentration Cliff→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation High Margins→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Plumas Bancorp (PLBC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%).

Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and middle market businesses and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, money market checking, business sweep,... Read more

$63.24-5.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#59 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.09%(5y avg 2.25%)Payout24.61%sustainable
Stop $60.58Analyst target $59.50(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$70.00+10.7%3 analysts
$63.24price
$70.00mean
$73

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (66.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$439M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn36.9%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.59
Dividend2.09%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate-secured loans82%
    10-K Item 1: 'However, at December 31, 2025, approximately 82% of the Bank's total loan portfolio consisted of real estate-secured loans, including real estate mortgage loans, real estate construction loans, consumer equity lines of credit, and agricultural loans secured by real estate.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans66%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 66% of our loans were commercial real estate loans as of December 31, 2025.'
  • HIGHGeographicNorthern California and Northern Nevada92%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of such date, approximately 92% of the loans in our loan portfolio were made to borrowers who primarily conduct business or live in Northern California or Northern Nevada.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02LOW
    Kelsey Cassinelli appointed Principal Accounting Officer effective April 27, 2026, replacing Richard Belstock in that role; Belstock continues as Principal Financial Officer/CFO. Routine appointment, no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.97Resistance $64.30

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.9%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $59.50 reached (−5.9%), stop $60.58 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLBC stock price target?

Analyst target $59.50 reached (−5.9% from $63.24); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $59.50 reached (−5.9%), stop $60.58 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $60.58.

What are the risks of investing in PLBC?

Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (66.0%).

Is PLBC overvalued or undervalued?

Plumas Bancorp trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PLBC?

9 analysts cover PLBC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Plumas Bancorp do?Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and...

Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and middle market businesses and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, money market checking, business sweep, public funds sweep, savings, and retirement accounts, as well as time and remote deposits. Its loan portfolio comprises personal and commercial loans, real estate, construction, agricultural, and government-guaranteed loans; residential and home equity lines of credit; land development and construction loans; automobile loans; consumer loans; purchased credit deteriorated (PCD) and non-PCD loans; and small business administration loans. In addition, the company provides telephone and mobile banking, internet banking with bill-pay options, cashier's check, bank-by-mail, automated teller machine, night depository, safe deposit box, direct and mobile deposit, electronic funds transfer, FedNow®-receive Service, and other customary banking services. Plumas Bancorp was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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