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PLBCPlumas BancorpHold6.5·$57.49-1.51%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PLBC combines strong growth, an attractive valuation, and a catalyst-driven breakout setup ahead of earnings, but an already-reached analyst target near the 52-week high leaves limited room to add.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • Attractive ValuationStable
  • Analyst Target Reached Limited UpsideStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Plumas Bancorp (PLBC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 7 days (2026-07-15). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%).

Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and middle market businesses and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, money market checking, business sweep,... Read more

$57.49+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#37 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.24%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout26.06%sustainable
Stop $53.47Target $59.26(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$61.33+6.7%3 analysts
$59.26our TP
$57.49price
$61.33mean
$66

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%). Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (66.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$412M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.7%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth32.4%
Beta0.59
Dividend2.24%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate-secured loans82%
    10-K Item 1: 'However, at December 31, 2025, approximately 82% of the Bank's total loan portfolio consisted of real estate-secured loans, including real estate mortgage loans, real estate construction loans, consumer equity lines of credit, and agricultural loans secured by real estate.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans66%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 66% of our loans were commercial real estate loans as of December 31, 2025.'
  • HIGHGeographicNorthern California and Northern Nevada92%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of such date, approximately 92% of the loans in our loan portfolio were made to borrowers who primarily conduct business or live in Northern California or Northern Nevada.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02LOW
    Kelsey Cassinelli appointed Principal Accounting Officer effective April 27, 2026, replacing Richard Belstock in that role; Belstock continues as Principal Financial Officer/CFO. Routine appointment, no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.82Resistance $60.47

Price Targets

$53
$59
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.49, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%). Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $59.26 (+3.1%), stop $53.47 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.26 (+3.1% upside). Target $59.26 (+3.1%), stop $53.47 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $53.47.

What are the risks of investing in PLBC?

Single-region cliff: 92% exposure to Northern California and Northern Nevada (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (82.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (66.0%).

Is PLBC overvalued or undervalued?

Plumas Bancorp trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PLBC?

9 analysts cover PLBC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Plumas Bancorp do?Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and...

Plumas Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for the Plumas Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and middle market businesses and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, money market checking, business sweep, public funds sweep, savings, and retirement accounts, as well as time and remote deposits. Its loan portfolio comprises personal and commercial loans, real estate, construction, agricultural, and government-guaranteed loans; residential and home equity lines of credit; land development and construction loans; automobile loans; consumer loans; purchased credit deteriorated (PCD) and non-PCD loans; and small business administration loans. In addition, the company provides telephone and mobile banking, internet banking with bill-pay options, cashier's check, bank-by-mail, automated teller machine, night depository, safe deposit box, direct and mobile deposit, electronic funds transfer, FedNow®-receive Service, and other customary banking services. Plumas Bancorp was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.

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