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PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial CorSell6.2·$45.06-4.19%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PGC pairs a strong growth profile and attractive valuation with a bullish breakout setup, but an already-reached analyst target, two recent earnings misses, and modest insider selling argue for holding rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • Attractive ValuationStable
  • Analyst Target Reached Limited UpsideStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor (PGC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending.

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that provides private banking and wealth management services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Wealth Management. It offers... Read more

$45.06+6.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#70 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.42%(5y avg 0.67%)Payout8.10%sustainable
Stop $42.14Target $48.16(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$50.94+13.0%4 analysts
$48.16our TP
$45.06price
$50.94mean
$55

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor

Generated 2026-07-08T21:14:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$848M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth25.5%
Beta0.71
Dividend0.42%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$30-33.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate lending
    10-K Item 1A: 'Based on these factors, the Bank had a concentration in commercial real estate lending, as such loans represented 367 percent of total bank capital as of December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicCentral and Northern New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and metropolitan New York
    10-K Item 1A: 'Unlike larger regional banks that operate in large geographies, much of our business is with clients located within Central and Northern New Jersey, Pennsylvania, as well as metropolitan New York... Due to our geographic concentration, a downturn in the local economy could make it more difficult to attract deposits and could cause higher losses and delinquencies on our loans than if the loans were more geographically diversified.'
  • LOWloan_portfolioNew York multifamily rent-regulated exposure14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our total multifamily rent regulated exposure in New York was approximately $854.1 million, or 13.7 percent, of the total loan portfolio.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.44Resistance $49.14

Price Targets

$42
$48
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.14. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.16 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $42.14. Stop-loss: $42.14.

What are the risks of investing in PGC?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PGC overvalued or undervalued?

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PGC?

8 analysts cover PGC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor do?Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that...

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that provides private banking and wealth management services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Wealth Management. It offers checking and savings accounts, money market and interest-bearing checking accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides working capital lines of credit, term loans for fixed asset acquisitions, commercial mortgages, multi-family mortgages, and other forms of asset-based financing services; and residential mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and other second mortgage loans. In addition, it offers corporate and industrial (C&I) lending and equipment finance, commercial real estate, multifamily, residential, and consumer lending activities; treasury management, C&I advisory, escrow management, deposit generation, and investment management services; personal trust services, including services as executor, trustee, administrator, custodian, and guardian; and other financial planning, tax preparation, and advisory services. Further, the company provides telephone and Internet banking, merchant credit card, and customer support sales services. Its private banking clients include businesses, non-profits, and consumers; wealth management clients include individuals, families, foundations, endowments, trusts, and estates; and commercial loan clients include business owners, professionals, retailers, contractors, and real estate investors. The company operates its private banking locations in Bedminster, Morristown, Princeton, and Teaneck, New Jersey; and branches in Somerset, Morris, Hunterdon, and Union counties, as well as operates automated teller machines. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Bedminster, New Jersey.

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