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PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial CorHold6.5·$46.17
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Peapack-Gladstone is a cheaply valued, fast-growing regional bank with strong margins and a bullish breakout, but upside to the analyst target is only 4.8%, earnings surprises are mixed and commercial real estate lending is concentrated.

Thesis pillars

  • Commercial Real Estate Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Cheap Forward Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor (PGC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending; Thin upside margin: 3.1%.

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that provides private banking and wealth management services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Wealth Management. It offers... Read more

$46.17+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#29 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.44%(5y avg 0.63%)Payout6.97%sustainable
Stop $44.19Analyst target $47.60(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$56.00+21.3%4 analysts
$47.60Analyst target
$46.17price
$56.00mean
$58

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending; Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending
Thin upside margin: 3.1%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$818M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn18.0%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta0.72
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate lending
    10-K Item 1A: 'Based on these factors, the Bank had a concentration in commercial real estate lending, as such loans represented 367 percent of total bank capital as of December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicCentral and Northern New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and metropolitan New York
    10-K Item 1A: 'Unlike larger regional banks that operate in large geographies, much of our business is with clients located within Central and Northern New Jersey, Pennsylvania, as well as metropolitan New York... Due to our geographic concentration, a downturn in the local economy could make it more difficult to attract deposits and could cause higher losses and delinquencies on our loans than if the loans were more geographically diversified.'
  • LOWloan_portfolioNew York multifamily rent-regulated exposure14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our total multifamily rent regulated exposure in New York was approximately $854.1 million, or 13.7 percent, of the total loan portfolio.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
8.8
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.32Resistance $46.73

Price Targets

$44
$48
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending; Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $47.60 (+3.1%), stop $44.19 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGC stock price target?

Analyst target: $47.60 (+3.1% upside). Analyst target $47.60 (+3.1%), stop $44.19 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $44.19.

What are the risks of investing in PGC?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate lending; Thin upside margin: 3.1%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is PGC overvalued or undervalued?

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PGC?

8 analysts cover PGC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Peapack-Gladstone Financial Cor do?Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that...

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Peapack Private Bank & Trust that provides private banking and wealth management services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Wealth Management. It offers checking and savings accounts, money market and interest-bearing checking accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides working capital lines of credit, term loans for fixed asset acquisitions, commercial mortgages, multi-family mortgages, and other forms of asset-based financing services; and residential mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and other second mortgage loans. In addition, it offers corporate and industrial (C&I) lending and equipment finance, commercial real estate, multifamily, residential, and consumer lending activities; treasury management, C&I advisory, escrow management, deposit generation, and investment management services; personal trust services, including services as executor, trustee, administrator, custodian, and guardian; and other financial planning, tax preparation, and advisory services. Further, the company provides telephone and Internet banking, merchant credit card, and customer support sales services. Its private banking clients include businesses, non-profits, and consumers; wealth management clients include individuals, families, foundations, endowments, trusts, and estates; and commercial loan clients include business owners, professionals, retailers, contractors, and real estate investors. The company operates its private banking locations in Bedminster, Morristown, Princeton, and Teaneck, New Jersey; and branches in Somerset, Morris, Hunterdon, and Union counties, as well as operates automated teller machines. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Bedminster, New Jersey.

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