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OXLCOOxford Lane Capital Corp. - PreSell4.4·$23.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Oxford Lane Capital shows resilient balance-sheet quality metrics and firming technical momentum, but declining revenue and a weak overall score suggest the market has already priced in most near-term positives near the stock's 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski Fcf Quality Strength→Stable
  • Technical Momentum Above 200dma↑Improving
  • Declining Revenue Growth Headwind→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre (OXLCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.60: Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth.

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated... Read more

$23.60+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#221 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield6.36%(5y avg 5.59%)Payout—
Stop $23.34Default target $27.14A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.60: Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive momentum
Risks
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap—
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn-126.1%
ROE-39.2%
Rev Growth-10.2%
Beta0.68
Dividend6.36%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -10.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Value Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
1.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.17Resistance $23.64

Price Targets

$23
$27
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts7
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target—

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for OXLCO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.60: Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $23.34. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXLCO stock price target?

Default target: $27.14 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $23.34. Stop-loss: $23.34.

What are the risks of investing in OXLCO?

Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth.

Is OXLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OXLCO?

7 analysts cover OXLCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre do?Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed...

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated below investment grade or is unrated. Oxford Lane Capital Corp was formed on June 9, 2010 and is domiciled in the United States.

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