NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
NextDecade Corporation is constructing and developing the Rio Grande LNG Facility near Brownsville, Texas, a 5-train natural gas liquefaction and export project with total expected capacity of ~30 MTPA. Revenue will come from long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements with 14... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — NextDecade Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS NextDecade Names John Zuklic As New Chief Financial Officer, Effective July 6, 2026 — benzinga Jun 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Initiates Coverage On NextDecade with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $11 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS Jim Cramer: This Financial Stock Is A Buy, Scotts Miracle-Gro Is 'Too Risky' — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS NextDecade Q1 EPS $(0.51) Misses $(0.49) Estimate — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS NextDecade Says Strong Construction Progress Continues At Rio Grande LNG; Expect First Gas Into Rio Grande LNG Facility — benzinga May 1, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierBechtel10-K Item 1: 'We have entered into fully wrapped, lump-sum turnkey contracts with Bechtel, a well-established and reputable LNG engineering and construction firm, for the engineering, procurement, and construction of Phase 1, Train 4, and Train 5'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOWNextDecade entered into amended and restated employment agreement with Matthew Schatzman, Chairman and CEO, effective immediately. Agreement provides initial term through April 15, 2029 with automatic one-year extensions. Annual base salary $1,000,000.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.87. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.06 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.87. Stop-loss: $7.87.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Bechtel; Target reached (-3.3% upside); Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0).
NextDecade Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 121.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover NEXT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.
What does NextDecade Corporation do?NextDecade Corporation is constructing and developing the Rio Grande LNG Facility near Brownsville, Texas, a 5-train...
NextDecade Corporation is constructing and developing the Rio Grande LNG Facility near Brownsville, Texas, a 5-train natural gas liquefaction and export project with total expected capacity of ~30 MTPA. Revenue will come from long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements with 14 counterparties for ~25.3 MTPA; construction is performed by Bechtel under lump-sum EPC contracts. The company currently generates no revenue and is pre-operational, with first commercial deliveries tied to train completion.