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MTAMetalla Royalty & Streaming LtdSell5.1·$7.78
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Metalla is a fast-growing royalty business with positive free cash flow and a perfect Piotroski score, but it trades on a 46.3x forward multiple, above its analyst target and in a steep short-term decline.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Limited Upside→Stable
  • Pullback In Rising Trend↑Improving
  • Rapid Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd (MTA) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd., a precious metals royalty and streaming company, engages in the acquisition and management of gold, silver, copper royalties, streams, and related production-based interests in Canada. The company operates in Australia, Brazil, Mexico, and the... Read more

$7.78-7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 12 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.26%
Stop $7.24Analyst target $7.22(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$8.50+9.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)49.4
Mkt Cap$727M
EV/EBITDA157.6
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth93.8%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.3
Forward P/E: 49.4xExpensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 14 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
7.8
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.07Resistance $9.50

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.1% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.24. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTA stock price target?

Analyst target $7.22 reached (−7.1% from $7.78); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $7.24. Stop-loss: $7.24.

What are the risks of investing in MTA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Expensive valuation.

Is MTA overvalued or undervalued?

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 49.4). TrendMatrix value score: 1.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTA?

11 analysts cover MTA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd do?Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd., a precious metals royalty and streaming company, engages in the acquisition and...

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd., a precious metals royalty and streaming company, engages in the acquisition and management of gold, silver, copper royalties, streams, and related production-based interests in Canada. The company operates in Australia, Brazil, Mexico, and the United States. The company was formerly known as Excalibur Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. in December 2016. Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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