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MDTMedtronic plc.Hold6.0·$80.22-0.13%
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Medtronic plc. (MDT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes—selling device-based therapies and services to healthcare systems in over 150 countries. Revenue is earned from device and consumable sales to hospitals... Read more

$80.22+10.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.59%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout76.14%
Stop $76.16Target $88.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$98.00+22.2%26 analysts
$88.20our TP
$80.22price
$98.00mean
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 10.0%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$103.0B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn13.2%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.59%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.86bearish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$140+74.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.8
Bollinger
3.1
52w Position
5.3
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $73.31Resistance $82.83

Price Targets

$76
$88
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $88.20 (+9.9%), stop $76.16 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MDT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.20 (+10.0% upside). Target $88.20 (+9.9%), stop $76.16 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $76.16.

What are the risks of investing in MDT?

Thin upside margin: 10.0%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MDT overvalued or undervalued?

Medtronic plc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MDT?

37 analysts cover MDT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Medtronic plc. do?Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and...

Medtronic is a global medical device company with four segments—Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes—selling device-based therapies and services to healthcare systems in over 150 countries. Revenue is earned from device and consumable sales to hospitals and physicians; the company has 95,000+ employees and has announced plans to separate its Diabetes business into an independent public company.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · BSX (Boston Scientific Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.)
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